British Prime Minister Boris Johnson offered to train 10,000 Ukrainians every four months
The Korean Scenario in Europe. With the duelists forced to quit because the weight of the conflict becomes unbearable, but without burying the axe. In Ukraine, what could happen was not a real armistice, but a suspended war. As happened between the two Koreas in 1953, halted by a truce that did not formally end hostilities. The model has already been hinted at by observers and is now returning, influenced by the trend of operations, with slow developments amid intense clashes. Kyiv bravely withstood the first thrust, lost parts of the territory, it is difficult to say whether it will ever manage to free it. He hopes so, but at the same time does not hide the difficulties of returning to the origin. Moscow has given up some of its ambitions, has continued the offensive, it is not clear how many resources it will have left. Per reiterated that the opposing country will never be the same and declared that it will achieve its goals, albeit with delays. The common point is the many killed, it’s pointless to speculate on how many there really are. Also because the sources are often contradictory in this regard. The last example was Saturday with a Zelensky advisor who scolded the colleague who spoke of thousands of dead and injured every day.
The insecurities
Uncertain (hidden) balance sheets accompanied by other data. We lost about 1,300 armored vehicles, 400 tanks, 700 artillery pieces, said General Volodymyr Karpenko, head of Ukrainian logistics. Oftentimes, guns like the NATO-supplied M777s become damaged, need to be moved aft, and need to be repaired. An average of two for each battery. Spare parts are needed, trucks have to travel long distances. The famous Himars are refillable in 5 minutes, but the bullets for the next salvo are on board large support vehicles. You need a lot of them, they weigh tons. And they run the risk of being hit by an enemy mobilizing what they have in store, old or new. In fact, the Neozar continued to send tanks, armored vehicles, and rocket launchers, which used the railroad to its full capacity. Material from the most distant regions. like firewood in a war furnace.
The times
Firepower enabled him to take over villages and hills, for he is always short of men. And how long will the melee last? This makes us think of a situation similar to Korea in the future. The guns are silent, the sides look menacing, there are tension spikes and the arsenals are being expanded. This is demonstrated by the Kim regime, which is resisting sanctions, even aiming for nuclear bombs and testing repeater rockets. Given what is seen in Donbass, the North will be comforted that it invested in the creation of a formidable piece of artillery. The battles revealed a huge consumption of ammunition, it was assumed – as noted by the British institute Rusi – that the use of so-called smart bombs reduced the use of normal (less precise), and instead this was not the case. War greedy for life, materials, bombs. If decisive victories are not achieved on the front lines, the leaders must find alternatives. The defenders will have another problem: keeping NATO support at a high level. In recent days they have received insurance with different formulas. The US has launched another package, and other countries have pledged significant supplies. British Prime Minister Johnson has offered a program to allow 10,000 Ukrainians to be trained every 120 days to warn of the risk of increasing fatigue in the western field. As former US Ambassador Ivo Daalder said for Washington, there are two paths: a bloody and prolonged status quo, or the end or reduction of support. The second option, in his view, would be to feed the Ukrainians to the wolves.
June 18, 2022 (change June 18, 2022 | 21:39)
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