Click the arrow to expand the odds for 2022 Arnold Palmer by Caesars
Invitation coefficients for 2022 Arnold Palmer
Golfer
Odds
John Ram
+850
Rory McIlroy
+1200
Victor Howland
+1600
Scotty Scheffler
+1800
Hideki Matsuyama
+2500
Sungjae Im
+2600
Will Zalaris
+2800
Matt Fitzpatrick
+3000
Mark Lishman
+3000
Paul Casey
+3300
Keith Mitchell
+3300
Tyrell Hatton
+3500
Adam Scott
+3500
Jason Cocrack
+4000
Billy Horschel
+4000
Sam Burns
+4000
Max Homa
+4000
Justin Rose
+4500
Sergio Garcia
+5000
Tommy Fleetwood
+5000
Thaler Guch
+5000
Christian Besuidenhout
+5000
Gary Woodland
+5000
Maverick McNeilly
+5000
Russell Henley
+5000
Jason’s day
+5500
Cameron Tringale
+5500
Keegan Bradley
+6000
Corey Connors
+6000
Chris Kirk
+6600
Luke List
+6600
Cameron Young
+6600
Seamus Power
+6600
Eric van Royen
+7000
Lanto Griffin
+7000
Tom Hodge
+8000
Carlos Ortiz
+8000
Kevin Na
+8000
Thomas Peters
+8000
Si U Kim
+8000
Sebastian Munoz
+8000
Sep Straka
+8000
Ian Poulter
+10000
Lucas Glover
+10000
Patrick Reed
+10000
Matthew Wolfe
+10000
Kevin Kisner
+10000
Sahit Tegala
+10000
Lee Westwood
+10000
KH Lee
+10000
Matt Jones
+10000
Troy Merritt
+12500
Sam Ryder
+12500
Danny Willett
+12500
Kevin Steele
+12500
Andrew Putnam
+12500
Ricky Fowler
+12500
Danny McCarthy
+12500
Brendan Todd
+12500
Taylor Moore
+12500
Garik Higo
+12500
Martin Laird
+12500
Aaron Wise
+12500
Adam Swenson
+12500
Aaron Paradise
+15000
JJ Spaun
+15000
Takumi Kanaya
+15000
Taylor Pendrit
+15000
Across the waterfront
+15000
Lee Hodges
+15000
Cam Davis
+15000
Patton Kizier
+15000
Dylan Frittelli
+15000
Patrick Rodgers
+15000
Lucas Herbert
+15000
Charles Howell
+15000
Alex Smolly
+15000
Nikolai Hoygaard
+15000
Nick Taylor
+15000
Bo Hosler
+15000
Pat Perez
+17500
Danny Lee
+20000
Brendan Steele
+20000
Hudson Swaford
+20000
Cameron Champ
+20000
Sean O’Hare
+20000
Doug Gim
+20000
Min Wu Lee
+20000
Michael Thompson
+20000
Henrik Stenson
+20000
Zack Johnson
+20000
Matt Wallace
+20000
Brandon Grace
+20000
Scott Stallings
+20000
Brand Snedecker
+20000
Grayson Sig
+25000
Vincent Whaley
+25000
Rory Sabatini
+25000
Trey Mulinax
+25000
Padreig Harrington
+25000
Stefan Jaeger
+25000
Hayden Buckley
+25000
Davis Riley
+25000
Graham McDowell
+30000
Nick Watney
+30000
Peter Malnati
+30000
Adam Long
+30000
Henrik Nolander
+30000
Charles Schwarzel
+30000
Scott Pierce
+30000
Adam Schenk
+30000
Kevin Thuy
+40000
Davis Thompson
+40000
Jonathan Bird
+50000
James Payot
+50000
John Pack
+50000
Anirban Lahiri
+50000
Bennett himself
+50000
Paul Barjon
+50000
Greg Koch
+100000
PGA TOUR continues its swing in Florida at Bay Hill Club & Lodge to play at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in 2022 this week. The event is at the heart of TOUR, appearing in the schedule every year since 1979.
Bay Hill Club & Lodge is a par 72 by 7454 yards and features Bermuda grass. Before last year, the previous five editions of Arnold Palmer Invitational gave international champions. Bay Hill can be extremely difficult to play if the wind gets stronger, but the course certainly has teeth, whether there is wind or not.
There are 120 golfers for an event that usually attracts very strong fields, but with the PLAYERS championship next week, several top players have chosen to stay without it. However, the field will still include some of the best in the world such as John Ram, Rory McIlroy, Victor Howland, Hideki Matsuyama Adam Scott, Patrick Reed, Justin Rose, Sungjae Im, Matt Fitzpatrick, Scotty Scheffler, Paul Casey and Tommy Fleetwood.
Past winners in Bay Hill
2021: Bryson DeChambo (-11)
2020: Tyrell Hatton (-4)
2019: Francesco Molinari (-12)
2018: Rory McIlroy (-18)
2017: Mark Lishman (-11)
2016: Jason’s Day (-17)
5 key statistics for Bay Hill
Let’s take a look at five key Bay Hill metrics to determine which golfers have the highest scores in each category in the last 24 rounds.
1. Impacts received: approach
The approach is often the most important statistic and this week will be no different. This is a difficult golf course and players will be penalized for missing greens in the regulation.
General SG: approach over the last 24 rounds
Will Zalaris (+24.8) (+2500)
Victor Howland (+22.0) (+1800)
Tom Hodge (+22.0) (+10000)
Paul Casey (+21.3) (+4000)
Hudson Swaford (+18.7) (+25000)
2. Blows received: Outside of these
To compete in Bay Hill, golfers will need excellent off-course performance. Distance is important because of the length of the route and its layout, but accuracy is just as important.
We’ve seen recent events where golfers can get away with bad shots, but Bay Hill is not one of those courses. The rough hit is extremely thick and punitive, so saving after a bad hit with it is unlikely.
SG: OTT in the last 24 rounds
John Ram (+26.8) (+750)
Rory McIlroy (+19.2) (+1000)
Cameron Young (+19.1) (+9000)
Keith Mitchell (+18.9) (+4500)
Sergio Garcia (+17.6) (+5000)
3. Shots received: launch (Bermuda shorts and lightning)
The main reason Bay Hill plays as one of the toughest pitches in TOUR is the incredibly fast greens. The surfaces of Bermuda played lightning fast in every round of 2017.
SG: Placement (Bermuda and Lightning) in the last 24 rounds:
Zack Johnson (+26.7) (+25000)
Danny McCarthy (+24.0) (+13000)
Brendan Todd (+22.9) (+15000)
Bo Hosler (+21.6) (+20000)
Christian Besuidenhout (+19.6) (+5000)
4. Received shots: Ball hit
While hitting the ball is partly beyond those and the approach, I want the whole tee to green package to be built into the model this week, as it will take a well-rounded tee to green effort to do so at Bay Hill.
SG: BS in the last 24 rounds
John Ram (+41.2) (+750)
Will Zalaris (+34.9) (+2800)
Luke List (+33.9) (+7000)
Victor Howland (+32.8) (+1800)
Paul Casey (+25.6) (+4000)
5. Blows received: Par. 5
With four par 5 on the court it will be important to take advantage of these holes. Although I do not expect the winning result to be as inspiring as last year, it will certainly not be a bird festival.
The one who makes the most of a par with a chance to score may have the best shot to win.
SG: Par 5 in the last 24 rounds
Matt Fitzpatrick (+19.5) (+2200)
Aaron Paradise (+16.7) (+25000)
Seamus Power (+14.3) (+6000)
Max Homa (+13.4) (+4500)
Hideki Matsuyama (+13.0) (+2500)
Ranking of models with invitations for Arnold Palmer
Below, I compiled an overall ranking of the model using a combination of the five key statistical categories discussed above – SG: approach (27%), SG: Off the Tee (23%), SG: Bermuda / flash placement (18%) ), SG: Ball hit (17%) and SG: Par 5 (15%).
John Ram (+750)
Sungjae Im (+2200)
Matt Fitzpatrick (+2200)
Russell Henley (+4000)
Luke List (+7000)
Lanto Griffin (+7500)
Seamus Power (+6000)
Mark Lishman (+2800)
Victor Howland (+1800)
Will Zalaris (+2800)
2022 Arnold Palmer Call for Choices
Victor Howland (+1800) in DraftKings
Howland comes this week with hot irons, which is the most important aspect of taming Bay Hill. In his last start on the Riviera, the 24-year-old received 6.1 strokes on approach. The performance lags only behind Tony Finau and the winner Joaquin Niemann in the category, leading Howland to fourth place.
Howland was also very good on the Riviera last season. He amassed 4.1 strokes in the approach (fifth place finish) and improved his hot form the following week. His next start came at the WGC Concession, where he finished second with 8.7 shots on approach, the best result of his career. Howland is heading to Florida again after a strong performance on the Riviera and I expect another performance on the ceiling.
The world’s No. 4 golfer recently won the Dubai Desert Classic on the DP World Tour (January 2022). Despite worldwide success, Hovland is still looking for a remarkable victory in the PGA TOUR. Bay Hill would be a logical place for that to happen.
Matt Fitzpatrick (+3000) at bet365
It’s no secret that Fitzpatrick loves Bay Hill very much. Fitz finished in the top 10 in his last three starts at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, with his best final (second) coming in 2019.
Although he obviously has a history of the course on his part, the Englishman is also judged perfectly for Bay Hill. In the field, Fitzpatrick ranks first with a score of 5, sixth in the shots gained: Putting lightning green Bermuda shorts, and 12th in shots received: Off the Tee. With a game created for this course, it is no surprise that he has excelled here throughout his career.
The 27-year-old scored 4.2 shots in his last start at the WM Phoenix Open and 7.2 shots from tee to green. His game is rounded out at the right time to finally win his first PGA TOUR victory.
Jose Manuel Alvarez / Quality Sport Images / Getty Images. Pictured: Matt Fitzpatrick
Paul Casey (+4000) in DraftKings
Among Casey’s three victories in the PGA TOUR, two came to the state of Florida at the 2018 Walspar Championships and 2019. Like Copperhead, Bay Hill is a great course suitable for Casey, given the difficult conditions and potentially higher than normal. winning result.
Looking at the history of the Arnold Palmer Invitational, one of the first things worth mentioning is the number of elite European players who have had success at Bay Hill. Prior to Bryson Deschamps’ dominant victory last season, the last three winners were Rory McIlroy, Francesco Molinari and Tyrell Hatton. Casey is a European with a similar model, who has a lot of experience in the Ryder Cup (like the other three) and does well in difficult conditions.
In addition to the perfect fit on the course, the 44-year-old plays excellent golf. At the Genesis Invitational, Casey received 5.6 strokes in the approach and finished 15th. With four par 3s on the 200+ yard move, Casey should have the advantage, as he receives an average of 2.4 shots on the pitch per par 3 event of this length.
With two top 10 rankings in his last three Bay Hill attempts, Casey has proven he has what it takes to fight on the field.
Danny Willett (+20,000) at DraftKings
Willett offers net capital for profit. You won’t find many golfers in the mid-30s with nine professional wins in the three-digit odds on this week’s odds, but that’s where we find Willett.
Given that he won recently in October (Alfred Dunhill Links Championship) in a relatively strong field, it is safe to say that his game is in good shape. He stressed that last week the Honda Classic, although not very high in the rankings. He was stable statistically and won 5.6 shots from tee to green during the week.
Willett’s problems came with the blow, where he lost a terrible 4.4 blows. He has shown that he is capable of dealing with hard and fast greens in the past, as he won The Masters in Augusta National. Although the surface is different, the speed of the greens in Bay Hill is one of the few that can rival Augusta.
Willett has a solid history of the course, finishing 18th and 31st in his last two trips to Bay Hill. If this week is difficult, the 34-year-old Englishman has the grind mentality to fight Arnold Palmer Invitational.
